Forecasters from the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University say that with El Nino weakening, the 2007 hurricane season will be very active... and will include 17 named storms for the season between June 1 and November 30. Included, they predict, will be 9 hurricanes, 5 of which are expected to be major with sustained surface winds of at least 111 mph. However, the season, they say, will not be as active as 2004 and 2005 when hurricanes caused billions of dollars worth of damage in Florida, and days or weeks without power for millions of residents. They predict there is a 50% chance of at least one major hurricane hitting land along the east coast, including the Florida peninsula.
El Nino occurs when weak easterly trade winds allow warmer waters of the western Pacific to migrate east. The accompanying vertical wind shear stunts the formation of hurricanes. In the end of May this team will update their predictions.
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